Q2 2026
Q2 2026 San Antonio Commercial Real Estate Market Report
Focus: Q2 2026 Market Trends
Executive Summary
The San Antonio commercial real estate (CRE) market demonstrates a balanced and diversified economic profile through the middle of 2026, benefiting from steady population growth, cross-border logistics advantages, and highly disciplined multi-tenant construction pipelines. The Retail storefront marketplace operates as the region's strongest near-term performer, anchored near historical lows in direct availability due to resilient consumer foot traffic and strong landlord leverage across neighborhood centers. The Industrial and logistics sector is successfully navigating a healthy supply-digestion phase. While a major multi-year wave of completions has elevated overall direct vacancy variables, robust absorption across close-in infill segments and key automotive-belt manufacturing starts point to durable underlying user demand. Meanwhile, the Office market continues to forge a stable dual-track alignment. Though overall net demand remains volatile as corporate users right-size floor plans, a total absence of new ground-up competitive builds has supported gradual vacancy compression and steady lease gains among high-amenity Class A facilities.
TenantBase Proprietary Data highlights the distribution of active tenant demand over the last 90 days:
- Storefront/Retail completely dominated localized transaction activity, capturing 59.22% of all searches (122 deals).
- Warehouse was the second most active sector at 24.27% of demand (50 deals).
- Office accounted for 17.48% of total search volume (36 deals).
Office Market
Market Overview
The San Antonio office sector is experiencing a period of cautious improvement and quiet structural firming in Q2 2026, characterized by high demand for premier hospitality-grade space and absolute supply discipline.
- Vacancy & Submarket Dynamics: The overall market vacancy rate continues to show incremental compression, edging down to 16.0% to 18.5% depending on tracking classes. San Antonio's underlying administrative fundamentals remain notably steadier than many national peer markets due to moderate construction starts and a highly diversified local economy spanning cybersecurity, healthcare, and military operations.
- Private-Sector Demand Drivers: Direct net absorption managed a positive turn to bring year-to-date occupancy back into black parameters, logging 1,636 SF of positive net demand. Active space demand continues to be dominated by healthcare providers, followed closely by professional services (such as legal and architecture firms) and corporate finance networks. Tenants maintain an intense flight to quality, selectively targeting spaces with premium interior appointments.
- Stalled Pipeline Insulation: Ground-up supply risks remain completely non-existent. There has been absolutely no office space under active construction and zero new project deliveries recorded since early 2024, locking in strong structural protection for existing space blocks and supporting modest low-single-digit face rent growth.
TenantBase Activity
- Demand Share: Office accounted for 17.48% of total search volume (36 deals).
- Lease Term Preference: Local user workspace inquiries reflect a heavy preference toward immediate flexible arrangements and near-term short agility curves:
- Less than one year: 42.42% of deals (14 deals).
- 2-3 Years: 42.42% of deals (14 deals).
- 3-5 Years: 12.12% of deals (4 deals).
- 5+ Years: 3.03% of deals (1 deal).
- Size Requirements: Requested floor areas adapt sequentially in direct correlation with lease duration horizons. Short-term agile arrangements under twelve months seek workspaces averaging a lower bound of 700.00 SF and an upper bound of 1,600.00 SF. Standard intermediate 2-3 Year footprints require expanded layouts, averaging a lower baseline threshold of 2,600.00 SF and an upper bound of 5,400.00 SF, while intermediate 3-5 Year terms drop parameters slightly to request an average lower bound of 1,166.67 SF and an upper capacity maximum boundary limit of 2,333.33 SF.
Industrial & Warehouse Market
Market Overview
Functioning as a principal central distribution intersection linking Texas shipping lines to cross-border Mexican manufacturing trade networks, the San Antonio industrial marketplace continues to function from a position of relative durability.
- Supply-Driven Vacancy Shifts: Accelerated institutional construction delivery cycles over the past 12 months delivered 3.8 million SF of space, outrunning tracking lease velocities and pushing broad vacancy upward into a post-delivery rebalancing phase at 10.4% to 11.7%. Vacancy remains highly concentrated within speculative big-box distribution nodes exceeding 100,000 SF, while smaller-bay flex facilities face very limited development starts.
- Manufacturing & Logistics Anchors: Despite softer headline vacancies, total net absorption remained structurally active at a robust 2.3 million SF. Favorable demand continues to be anchored by cross-border logistics networks and heavy automotivereshoring, highlighted by massive flagship owner-user and build-to-suit manufacturing developments underway for industrial titans Toyota and JCB across the South submarket.
- Pricing & Pipelines: The region's active industrial under-construction pipeline remains robust at 2.7 to 6.0 million square feet. Landlord base triple-net asking rents expanded a modest 1.2% year-over-year, climbing to an overall market average baseline between $8.69/SF and $11.00/SF NNN.
TenantBase Activity
- Demand Share: Warehouse represented 24.27% of overall search trends (50 deals).
- Lease Term Preference: Active warehouse user inquiries display a strong focus on near and intermediate curves, led prominently by short-to-medium-term requirements:
- 1-2 Years: 42.11% of deals (8 deals).
- 3-5 Years: 31.58% of deals (6 deals).
- Less than one year: 15.79% of deals (3 deals).
- 2-3 Years: 10.53% of deals (2 deals).
- Size Requirements: Physical configurations scale upward sequentially alongside commitment depth. Near-term 1-2 Year commitments require an average lower bound parameter of 4,000.00 SF and an upper bound of 7,750.00 SF. Standard intermediate 3-5 Year terms require a lower average baseline of 2,250.00 SF and an upper boundary limit of 5,625.00 SF, while immediate quick flex configurations under twelve months target extensive footprints averaging a lower bound of 13,000.00 SF up to an upper bound maximum of 51,250.00 SF.
Retail Market
Market Overview
San Antonio retail is leading regional commercial property sectors in terms of low availability metrics and price resilience, heavily insulated by limited ground-up completions.
- Tight Inventory Constraints: The overall retail vacancy rate compressed a minor 10 basis points over the past 12 months to hold near an exceptionally tight 4.0% to 4.2%, locking in clear landlord-favorable dynamics. Favorable net absorption increased 15.5% on an annual basis to log 337,549 to 825,000 SF of positive net demand.
- Merchant Backfilling Velocity: Daily-necessity grocery formats and national lifestyle brands continue to actively follow residential development nodes into outlying suburban corridors. Notable neighborhood space backfills include Trufit Athletic Clubs taking 35,000 SF at Lockhill Village Shopping Center in the Northwest submarket, alongside a new 35,000 SF Crunch Fitness facility signed on Potranco Road in the Far West submarket.
- Pricing & Pipeline Growth: Ground-up development velocity remains active but highly managed. New quarterly deliveries added 390,289 SF to the market, while the active under-construction pipeline slowed down by 16.3% quarter-over-quarter to land at 966,807 SF. Limitless merchant competition for available space pushed average base triple-net asking rents up 0.4% sequentially to reach $19.45/SF NNN, with the Central Business District commanding a steep market premium at $33.47/SF NNN.
- Sales Volume: Cumulative 12-month transaction volume reached $244 million across 287 completed asset sales, averaging a pricing baseline of $211/SF with an average capitalization rate of 7.2%. Notable deals include NETSTREIT Corp.'s corporate acquisition of a 3-property portfolio that featured South Park Mall II on SW Military Drive.
TenantBase Activity
- Demand Share: Retail/Storefront requirements entirely dominated local market transaction volume, capturing 59.22% of all tracked metrics (122 deals).
- Lease Term Preference: Merchants demonstrate a clear priority toward mid-to-long term lease structures to secure physical neighborhood customer retention:
- 2-3 Years: 38.18% of deals (21 deals).
- 3-5 Years: 21.82% of deals (12 deals).
- 5+ Years: 16.36% of deals (9 deals).
- 1-2 Years: 12.73% of deals (7 deals).
- Less than one year: 10.91% of deals (6 deals).
- Top Locations: Out of the submarkets explicitly logged over the last 90 days, the highest concentrations of local transaction interest centered heavily on San Antonio proper (55 deals), followed closely by New Braunfels (14 deals), and the blended Boerne/Bulverde/Far North submarket cluster (9 deals). Standard intermediate 3-5 Year retail storefront footprints require an average lower bound footprint of 5,500.00 SF and an upper capacity maximum boundary limit of 11,250.00 SF. Local coworking searches request flexible single desks or micro-layouts averaging 375.00 SF to 750.00 SF for long-term 5+ Year arrangements.
Multifamily Market
Market Overview
The San Antonio multifamily sector continues to work through a highly intensive peak supply completion wave, actively prioritizing unit absorption over immediate rent acceleration.
- Record Supply Overhang: Driven by a massive historic building cycle that delivered over 6,769 units to the metro area over the past 12 months, the broad multi-unit apartment vacancy rate climbed to a cyclical high of 12.2% to 16.0%.
- Absorption Indicators: Despite near-term supply headwinds, underlying household demand remains active. The market registered strong positive net absorption of 3,311 units, supported by a low cost of living and strong corporate relocations across South Texas.
- Rent Bottoming Dynamics: Lighter ground-up project starts are expected to limit downside rent volatility going forward. Average effective apartment rents track trailing annual drops near -3.1% to -3.4% to hold at an overall market baseline of $1,240/month, with premium luxury configurations across Midtown commanding top premiums up to $2,091/month.
2026 Outlook
Moving through the remainder of 2026, the San Antonio CRE market is securely positioned for a supply-driven stabilization across major asset profiles.
- Office Rebalancing: High corporate demand for premium corporate layouts will keep the Class A office segment stable, while a completely flat speculative building pipeline shields the broader market from sudden oversupply spikes.
- Industrial Equilibrium: As ground-up speculative construction completions drop to a more managed pace from previous historical peaks, robust regional cross-border trade and central interstate logistics infrastructure will allow distribution networks to steadily absorb remaining inventory and narrow the concession environment.
- Retail Stability: High pre-leasing velocity on upcoming retail spaces coupled with an absolute shutdown of ground-up speculative shopping center starts will protect neighborhood storefront complexes from deep vacancy corrections, locking in high occupancy thresholds moving into 2027.
Sources
[1] Crexi: San Antonio Commercial Real Estate Market Report 2026
[2] CRE in Texas: San Antonio Commercial Real Estate Report | Q2 2026
[3] Lumicre: San Antonio Industrial Real Estate Market Report (2026)
[4] Partners Real Estate: San Antonio Retail Q1 2026 Quarterly Market Report
[5] CBRE: San Antonio Industrial Figures - Q1 2026
[6] CBRE: San Antonio Office Figures - Q1 2026
[7] Cushman & Wakefield: San Antonio MarketBeats | US
[8] TenantBase Proprietary Market Data (Dashboard Export: SEO Market Reports sa, July 1, 2026)
Information in this report is aggregated from various third-party sources and synthesized using artificial intelligence and other research tools. While we believe these sources to be reliable, we cannot guarantee the absolute accuracy or completeness of the data. This report is intended for informational purposes to provide market insight and should be independently verified prior to any use in a real estate transaction or legal commitment.