Q4 2025
Milwaukee Commercial Real Estate Market Report
Focus: Q4 2025 Market Trends
Executive Summary
The Milwaukee commercial real estate (CRE) market is defined by stability and tightening fundamentals as 2025 concludes. The Office sector is stabilizing, with vacancy holding steady and a clear "flight to quality" driving activity in Class A assets [1]. Industrial markets remain robust, bouncing back with strong positive absorption and vacancy rates hovering near 5% [2, 3]. Retail is the tightest sector, with vacancy rates at historic lows due to limited new construction [4]. Multifamily is a top performer nationally, with occupancy rates exceeding 95% and rent growth outpacing the national average as new supply drops sharply [6].
TenantBase Proprietary Data [11] highlights the distribution of active tenant demand over the last 90 days (100 total deals):
- Retail/Storefront led market activity with 72.00% of all searches [11].
- Warehouse was the second most active sector at 27.00% [11].
- Office accounted for just 1.00% of total search volume [11].
Office Market
Market Overview Milwaukee's office market is finding a floor, with vacancy rates stabilizing and leasing activity showing modest improvements, particularly in high-quality buildings.
- Vacancy & Availability: The overall vacancy rate stabilized at 18.1% - 21.1% in Q3 2025, depending on the report [1, 5]. Class A vacancy improved to 16.6%, significantly outperforming Class B and C assets [5].
- Net Absorption: The market recorded mixed results, with some reports showing negative absorption of (16,820) SF while others noted positive absorption of 41,714 SF, signaling a leveling off of occupancy losses [1, 5].
- Rental Rates: Average asking rents held steady or rose slightly to $20.76 - $22.63 per SF, driven by the premium rents commanded by top-tier properties [1, 5].
- Market Drivers: There is virtually no new office construction, which is helping to balance supply. Office-to-residential conversions are actively reducing obsolete inventory [1].
TenantBase Activity [11]
- Demand Share: Office demand was minimal, accounting for only 1.00% of total search volume [11].
- Lease Term Preference: The single office inquiry recorded was for a Less than one year term, reflecting extreme caution or temporary needs [11].
Industrial & Warehouse Market
Market Overview The Milwaukee industrial market has rebounded from a mid-year slowdown, posting strong positive absorption and maintaining healthy vacancy levels.
- Vacancy & Rent: Vacancy ticked down to 4.9% - 5.0% in Q3 2025 [2, 3]. Average asking rents rose to $5.47 per SF (NNN), a 1.8% increase from the previous quarter [2].
- Demand & Supply: Net absorption surged to between 750,000 SF and 2.0 million SF in Q3, driven by logistics and manufacturing users [2, 3].
- Construction: The active construction pipeline has shrunk to 1.4 million SF, which will support tighter market conditions in 2026 as new deliveries slow [2].
- Leasing Highlights: TenantBase data shows steady demand for mid-term leases, with Warehouse inquiries split between 1-2 Years and 3-5 Years [11].
TenantBase Activity [11]
- Demand Share: Warehouse accounted for 27.00% of total search volume [11].
- Lease Term Preference: Demand is varied across lease terms [11]:
- 1-2 Years: 40.00% of deals [11].
- 2-3 Years: 20.00% of deals [11].
- 3-5 Years: 20.00% of deals [11].
- Size Requirements: The average lower size requirement for warehouse space is 1,000 SF for 1-2 year terms, increasing to 2,500 SF for 3-5 year terms [11].
Retail Market
Market Overview Milwaukee's retail sector is exceptionally resilient, operating at historically high occupancy levels due to a lack of new development.
- Vacancy & Availability: The retail vacancy rate sits at a historically low 3.1% - 3.9% [4, 8]. Availability is scarce, particularly in suburban submarkets [4].
- Rental Rates: While vacancy is low, rent growth has been mixed, with some reports showing a slight dip to $14.61 per SF while others note stability [8].
- Leasing Activity: Leasing volume remains consistent, driven by quick-service restaurants and experiential concepts filling small-to-mid-sized spaces [4].
TenantBase Activity [11]
- Demand Share: Retail/Storefront activity dominated with 72.00% of all search volume [11].
- Lease Term Preference: Retail tenants show a clear preference for longer commitments compared to other sectors [11]:
- 3-5 Years: 36.67% of deals [11].
- 2-3 Years: 26.67% of deals [11].
- Less than one year: 13.33% of deals [11].
- Top Locations: Tenant interest is highest in Milwaukee (City) (3 deals) and Sheboygan (3 deals), with broad interest across suburban markets like Delafield, Glendale, and Waukesha [11].
Multifamily Market
Market Overview The Milwaukee multifamily market is a standout performer, characterized by high occupancy and rent growth that exceeds national averages.
- Vacancy & Occupancy: Occupancy is projected to reach 96.0% by year-end 2025, ranking Milwaukee among the top 6 markets nationally for occupancy [6].
- Rents: Annual rent growth peaked at 3.2% in Q3 2025 and is expected to settle at 2.9% by year-end, with average rents around $1,439 per unit [6].
- Construction: New unit completions are projected to fall by nearly 50% in 2025 compared to the previous year, creating a supply shortage that will drive further rent gains [6, 9].
- Investment: Investors view Milwaukee as a "steady-eddy" market, offering stability and yield premiums compared to coastal gateways [7].
2026 Outlook
Looking ahead to 2026, the Milwaukee market is positioned for continued stability and tightening fundamentals.
- Multifamily Squeeze: With new deliveries dropping sharply, the apartment market will tighten further, likely driving rent growth above 3% in 2026 [6].
- Industrial Balance: The reduced construction pipeline will help the industrial sector maintain low vacancy as demand catches up with recent supply additions [2].
- Retail Resilience: Limited new supply will keep retail vacancy at historic lows, maintaining a landlord-favorable environment [4].
Sources
- Newmark: Milwaukee Office Market Overview Q3 2025
- Newmark: Milwaukee Industrial Market Overview Q3 2025
- CBRE: Milwaukee Industrial Figures Q3 2025
- NAI Pfefferle: Greater Milwaukee Retail Market Report Q1 2025
- Colliers: Milwaukee Office Market Report Q3 2025
- MMG Real Estate Advisors: 2025 Milwaukee Forecast
- Ellsbury Group: Midwest Multifamily Pricing Trends 2025
- Marcus & Millichap: Milwaukee Retail Market Report Q3 2025
- Longbridge: Milwaukee Real Estate 2025 Trends
- Urban Milwaukee: New Report Identifies Market Support at Northridge Site
- TenantBase Proprietary Market Data (Milwaukee - Last 90 Days)
Information in this report is aggregated from various third-party sources and synthesized using artificial intelligence and other research tools. While we believe these sources to be reliable, we cannot guarantee the absolute accuracy or completeness of the data. This report is intended for informational purposes to provide market insight and should be independently verified prior to any use in a real estate transaction or legal commitment.