Q1 2026
Jacksonville Commercial Real Estate Market
Report Focus: Q1 2026 Market Trends
Executive Summary
The Jacksonville commercial real estate (CRE) market in Q1 2026 is experiencing a phase of stabilization and recalibration, bolstered by sustained population growth and a diverse, expanding economy. The Office sector is showing resilience, with vacancy rates declining and leasing activity actively shifting toward well-amenitized suburban submarkets. Industrial fundamentals are currently working through a heavy wave of speculative construction that temporarily elevated vacancy, though rent growth remarkably remains solidly positive as the development pipeline thins. The Retail market is structurally tight, supported by steady consumer spending and a severe lack of large-format availability. Meanwhile, the Multifamily sector is stabilizing; after a historic wave of new unit deliveries, nation-leading demographic tailwinds are helping absorb excess vacancy, setting the stage for balanced fundamentals heading deeper into 2026.
TenantBase Proprietary Data highlights the distribution of active tenant demand over the last 90 days:
- Retail/Storefront dominated market activity with 66.48% of all searches.
- Warehouse was the second most active sector at 20.11%.
- Office accounted for 13.41% of total search volume.
Office Market
Market Overview Jacksonville's office market is demonstrating stability in early 2026, driven by a preference for convenient suburban spaces over traditional downtown footprints and a broader "flight to quality".
- Vacancy & Absorption: The overall vacancy rate declined 20 basis points year-over-year to 22.6%, marking the lowest vacancy level recorded since early 2024 and suggesting clear signs of stabilization. Class A assets continue to drastically outperform their Class B counterparts.
- Demand Drivers: Total leasing volume for the trailing 12 months reached 1.5 million SF, representing a 26.1% increase from the previous year. Suburban submarkets like Deerwood Park and Southpoint captured nearly 60% of all tenant demand. Deal sizes are trending smaller, with the average lease measuring roughly 4,800 SF.
- Pricing: Average asking rents remained relatively flat at $22.97 per SF, underscoring a balanced pricing environment for landlords and occupiers.
TenantBase Activity
- Demand Share: Office accounted for 13.41% of total search volume.
- Lease Term Preference: Tenant demand skews heavily toward immediate, short-term flexibility, with Less than one year capturing 52.17% of deals.
- Size Requirements: Requirement sizes expand significantly for longer commitments. The average lower-bound requirement for a 5+ Year term is 2,500 SF, which is 300% larger than the requirement for short-term leases of Less than one year (625 SF).
Industrial & Warehouse Market
Market Overview The Jacksonville industrial market is transitioning from an era of rapid, speculative expansion into a phase of healthy absorption.
- Vacancy & Rent: Overall industrial vacancy rose sharply over the past year to 10.8%, driven primarily by over 6.2 million SF of speculative construction deliveries. Despite rising vacancy, landlords maintained pricing power, pushing average asking rents up 5.7% year-over-year to $8.25 per SF.
- Leasing Drivers: Tenant demand remains anchored by Jacksonville's strategic logistics position, with 3.7 million SF of new deals signed recently, primarily concentrated in the Northside and Westside submarkets.
- Construction Pipeline: Development activity has slowed considerably, with under-construction inventory declining over 72% year-over-year to just 919,000 SF as the market works toward a more balanced state.
TenantBase Activity
- Demand Share: Warehouse space captured 20.11% of total search volume.
- Lease Term Preference: Industrial tenants display a strong preference for mid-term operational stability, with 3-5 Years representing exactly 50.00% of searches.
- Size Requirements: Mid-to-long-term industrial requirements necessitate much larger footprints. The average lower-bound space requirement for 3-5 Year terms is 8,416 SF, roughly 741% larger than the average requirement for 1-2 Year terms (1,000 SF).
Retail Market
Market Overview Jacksonville's retail sector continues to benefit from robust population growth and household income gains, keeping supply heavily constrained and limiting opportunities for big-box users.
- Vacancy & Availability: The retail vacancy rate remains exceptionally tight at 4.8%. Availability is particularly scarce for large-format, high-quality spaces over 40,000 SF, which has tempered leasing volume simply due to a lack of options.
- Pricing Metrics: Asking rents held stable at an average of $25.60 per SF. Power centers outperformed other retail formats, while prime submarkets like Butler/Baymeadows continued to command the highest regional rents at $36.80 per SF.
- Construction: While new construction activity increased slightly year-over-year, the pace of deliveries remains measured at under 700,000 SF, ensuring existing retail centers maintain high occupancy.
TenantBase Activity
- Demand Share: Retail/Storefront activity dominated the Jacksonville market with 66.48% of all search volume.
- Lease Term Preference: Retailers prioritize operational stability, with mid-to-long-term commitments (3-5 Years and 5+ Years) combining for 42.59% of all deals.
- Top Locations: The core Jacksonville grid captured the vast majority of locational interest (35 deals), followed by St. Augustine (8) and Jacksonville Beach (4).
Multifamily Market
Market Overview The Jacksonville multifamily market is navigating the tail end of a supply-driven softening phase, offset by demographic tailwinds that are quickly absorbing excess units.
- Vacancy & Absorption: A generational surge in new deliveries temporarily pushed vacancy higher, but Jacksonville recently posted a notable vacancy decline of roughly 170 basis points from its peak as construction receded and robust demand absorbed the excess.
- Rents & Concessions: National asking rent growth slowed to roughly 1.1% year-over-year. Concessions remain a factor, particularly in submarkets digesting the last of the supply wave, as owners focus on maintaining leasing velocity over pushing rental rates.
- Development Focus: The longer-term outlook is highly favorable. The national construction pipeline has tapered materially—now about 50% below its cycle peak—which points directly to stabilizing apartment fundamentals heading deeper into 2026.
2026 Outlook
Moving further into 2026, the Jacksonville CRE market is well-positioned for balanced fundamentals across all property types.
- Office Stability: Modest but steady deal flow in suburban submarkets will continue to support stabilization, though Class B assets will likely face continued pressure as tenants gravitate toward higher-quality space.
- Industrial Rebalancing: With the construction pipeline drastically reduced, the industrial sector will successfully shift from a phase of oversupply to one of steady absorption, likely compressing the vacancy rate by year-end.
- Multifamily Recovery: As the remaining wave of new apartment supply is fully digested, the sharp pullback in new construction will allow rent growth and occupancy to firm up significantly.
Sources
- Cushman & Wakefield: Jacksonville Office MarketBeat Q4 2025
- Jax Daily Record: 2026 a balancing act for Northeast Florida commercial real estate market
- Cushman & Wakefield: Jacksonville Industrial MarketBeat Q4 2025
- Cushman & Wakefield: Jacksonville Retail MarketBeat Q4 2025
- Cushman & Wakefield: U.S. Multifamily MarketBeat Q4 2025
- TenantBase Proprietary Market Data (Dashboard Export: SEO Market Reports, March 21, 2026)
Information in this report is aggregated from various third-party sources and synthesized using artificial intelligence and other research tools. While we believe these sources to be reliable, we cannot guarantee the absolute accuracy or completeness of the data. This report is intended for informational purposes to provide market insight and should be independently verified prior to any use in a real estate transaction or legal commitment.